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Fresh Margin Systems

Commissary diagnostic

Recipe cost assumptions break when vendor drift, substitutions, and pack-size changes compound.

A procurement margin leakage diagnostic for commissaries and prepared foods operators with recipe-driven production, high SKU complexity, and vendor relationships that drift before recipe costing catches up.

Leakage signals

Where leakage shows up in commissary and prepared foods procurement.

These are the most common sources of procurement margin leakage we find in commissary and prepared foods operations.

Recipe cost assumption breakage

Recipes are built on assumed unit costs. When vendors change pack sizes, substitute SKUs, or move prices between price-sheet updates, the recipe cost assumption becomes fiction.

Pack-size changes break yields

Vendors change case counts or unit sizes without updating price-per-unit. The recipe yield assumption is wrong. The actual cost per portion moves before the recipe card is updated.

Substitution cost drift

Out-of-stock substitutions arrive with different grades, brands, or pack sizes. The recipe cost does not reflect the actual ingredient cost. Approval happens after production.

Vendor price drift between updates

Unit costs move between price-sheet updates without signed change notices. The recipe card shows the old price. The invoice shows the new price. The gap is invisible until a margin review.

Freight terms shift landed cost

Fuel surcharges, delivery minimums, and accessorial fees increase faster than volume. The recipe cost assumption does not include freight movement. The landed cost per case is higher than planned.

Rebate gaps reduce net cost

Earned rebates are missed or reconciled too late. The net cost per case is higher than it should be. The recipe margin is compressed by rebate under-collection.

Invoice variance at production scale

With hundreds of production runs per week, invoice variance is sampled, not comprehensive. Small variances on high-volume recipes compound across the production schedule.

Recipe cost drift rail

Recipe cost assumptions break before the recipe card is updated.

This illustrative table shows the shape of recipe-level cost drift detection. Real diagnostics use your actual recipe and ingredient data.

Grilled chicken bowl

High

Protein

Vendor raised price 7% without notice after recipe costing

Caesar salad kit

High

Produce

Freight minimum increased, landed cost up 9%

Mac and cheese

Medium

Dairy

Rebate threshold missed by 4% for 2 quarters

Veggie wrap

High

Dry goods

Pack size changed from 50 to 40, unit cost rose 17%

Fruit cup

Medium

Produce

Substitution approved post-delivery, 6% cost delta

Sandwich platter

Medium

Protein

Invoice variance on 2 SKUs, total $1,500/week

Fictional sample data for illustrative purposes. Not a customer result.

Data inputs

What we need from your commissary.

The diagnostic works with messy exports, partial invoices, and manual notes.

  • Vendor lists and price sheets
  • Recent invoices and purchase orders
  • Purchase history by SKU and recipe component
  • Recipe cost sheets and assumed unit costs
  • Freight terms and delivery schedules
  • Rebate agreements and tracking notes
  • Substitution logs and approval records
  • Known pain points by product line or customer

Diagnostic outputs

What you receive.

Eight artifacts delivered on every engagement.

ML

Margin Leak Brief

Recipe-line summary of where procurement margin is leaking across product categories.

VD

Vendor Drift Summary

Ranked list of vendors with price movement, invoice variance, and contract misalignment.

CR

Category Risk Console

Category-level pressure map across protein, produce, dairy, dry goods, and disposables.

PE

Price Exception Queue

Ranked SKUs with invoice-to-price-sheet variance, severity, and recommended review actions.

FR

Freight/Rebate Review

Freight cost-per-case trends, fuel surcharge movement, and rebate accrual gaps by vendor.

PS

Pack-Size Watchlist

Pack-size changes and substitutions that break recipe cost assumptions.

DQ

Data Quality Snapshot

Assessment of invoice consistency, SKU coverage, and recipe cost sheet availability.

PM

Pilot Decision Memo

Written recommendation on scope, data gaps, and next 30/60/90-day review plan.

Truth boundaries

What we do not do.

These boundaries protect both the commissary operator and the diagnostic.

  • No autonomous purchasing or AI that replaces buyers.
  • No guaranteed savings or promised margin recovery.
  • No legal, accounting, tax, or procurement advice.
  • No vendor negotiation unless separately contracted.
  • No payment approval or invoice signing authority.
  • No emergency procurement dependency.

Ready to find recipe-level procurement drift?

Request a 30-minute fit review. We will confirm scope and data readiness before any engagement begins.